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NAGA Weekly Recap | June 26 — June 30 — 2023

Insights into the strengthening US Dollar's market dynamics, Bitcoin's potential resurgence, Nike's latest financial results, and an unexpected surge in the US economy

30 June 2023

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Maxim Bohdan

We've curated a vital selection of news that will keep you abreast of the recent significant developments. Our key stories offer insights into the strengthening US Dollar's market dynamics, Bitcoin's potential resurgence, Nike's latest financial results, and an unexpected surge in the US economy.

Dive in for these essential updates!




US economic growth expanded much faster in the first quarter

The US economy saw more robust expansion in Q1 2023 than initially thought, with the annualized growth rate revised from 1.3% to 2%, significantly surpassing the 1.4% expectation, according to the Commerce Department. This was largely due to revisions in data on exports, consumer and government spending, and housing business investment. Notably, consumer spending — two-thirds of economic output — grew from 3.8% to 4.2%, with Americans spending more on services, particularly healthcare.

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Nike stock slides after quarterly profit misses Wall Street estimates

Nike's Q4 profits fell short of expectations, leading to a roughly 3% drop in its stock post-report. Gross margins declined to 43.6% from 45% compared to the same period the previous year. This reduction was attributed mainly to increased product input costs, higher freight and logistics expenses, more markdowns, and ongoing unfavorable changes in net foreign currency exchange rates, albeit partially mitigated by strategic pricing actions.

As per Bloomberg consensus estimates, Nike's revenue was $12.83 billion, exceeding the expected $12.59 billion, while adjusted EPS was $0.66, slightly below the forecasted $0.67. The actual gross margin of 43.6% also exceeded the expected 43.5%.

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Bitcoin needs a confirmed break of $31k to regain bullish momentum

Bitcoin has been exploring levels not seen since June 2022, due to recent positive developments. However, the late-April high of $31k remains a tough resistance point, with past attempts to break through proving unsuccessful. The ongoing price dynamics suggest a bullish pennant pattern, hinting at a potential significant upward movement if this pattern persists. Bitcoin's bullish trend is further reinforced by a series of higher lows over several months, as well as three moving averages showing positive signals.

If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking above $31k, it could trigger a new surge, with $32.4k as the next resistance level, followed by $37.3k, according to Nick Cawley, Senior Strategist.

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US Dollar strengthens following hawkish remarks by Fed Chief Powell

The US Dollar experienced a rebound, reflected by a 0.5% rise in the index to 103.00, after Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's hawkish comments during an ECB-hosted forum in Sintra, Portugal. Powell's remarks indicated that the current policy setting might not be sufficiently restrictive, suggesting further tightening ahead, with most Fed officials supporting two more rate hikes this year.

He also stated that he does not foresee core inflation reaching 2.0% until 2025, hinting that high rates could be maintained over a prolonged period to achieve price stability, which may rule out rate cuts in 2024.

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This concludes our weekly recap. Have a great weekend and see you next week! 👋

IMPORTANT NOTICE: Any news, opinions, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this article are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and therefore, it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Past performance is not an indication of possible future performance. Any action you take upon the information in this article is strictly at your own risk, and we will not be liable for any losses and damages in connection with the use of this article.

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