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NAGA Weekly Recap July 7 - 11, 2025

July 2025 market recap: inflation trends, interest rate outlook, oil volatility, and dollar strength impacting global markets. Stay ahead with key insights for traders.

11 July 2025

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Gladys Eguia

Another week, another round of mixed signals. Inflation is still hanging around, but economic data hints at a slowdown. The result? Markets are stuck in a holding pattern—again.

Traders spent the week combing through reports from major economies, looking for any edge on rate direction. Central banks didn’t give much away, sticking to their usual “data-dependent” script. That ambiguity kept asset flows cautious, with no clear trend across equities, bonds, or anything else.

It is important to remember to assess your financial situation and risk tolerance, before engaging in copy trading. Past performance and forecast are not reliable indicators of future results.

Inflation, Rates, and a Market That Can’t Sit Still

This week wasn’t just about the usual macro data—geopolitics and supply chain shifts stayed in the background, quietly shaping market sentiment. No new headline-level crises, but trade policy tweaks and global realignments kept traders on alert.

Between central bank uncertainty, uneven economic signals, and a constantly shifting global backdrop, staying nimble isn’t optional. Markets aren’t offering clean setups right now—just a mix of pressure points and short windows. Adaptability remains the only real edge.

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*Trading involves significant risk of loss.

Stocks Tread Water as NFP Shifts the Rate Narrative

Equities held their ground—barely. U.S. indices showed some staying power, while Europe kept pace, with the German DAX and Italian MIB flirting with all-time highs. Still, gains came with a side of caution, especially as regional sentiment and trade headlines added noise.

Markets were also still digesting last week’s NFP report. The strong labor print cooled off any near-term rate cut talk, but it also reinforced the idea that the U.S. economy isn’t cracking just yet. That mix kept equities steady—supported, but not exactly surging.

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*Trading involves significant risk of loss.

Energy Swings While Gold Keeps Its Ground

Commodities saw a wild ride this week, with crude oil leading the charge on volatility. Supply worries and shifting demand forecasts kept traders guessing, while steady geopolitical conditions still added a risk premium to energy prices. Industrial metals played it safer, moving within familiar ranges as manufacturing data from major economies showed mixed signals.

Gold held steady as the go-to safe haven, even dipping below the $3300 mark. Inflation concerns and market jitters kept investors coming back, reinforcing its role as a reliable hedge in uncertain times.

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*Trading involves significant risk of loss.

Dollar Holds the Edge as Markets Recalibrate

The US Dollar stayed strong against most major currencies this week, fueled by solid U.S. economic data and fresh Fed expectations after last week’s NFP report. While other central banks weighed in with their own signals, U.S. assets kept pulling in capital.

The Euro and Sterling traded cautiously, caught between their regional data and the Dollar’s steady march forward.

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*Trading involves significant risk of loss.

The current market landscape is anything but predictable. Success will go to those who stay sharp 🧠, monitor evolving signals closely, and don’t rush decisions. In times like these, patience and agility are your best trading tools. ⚡

IMPORTANT NOTICE: Any news, opinions, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this article are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and therefore, it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Past performance is not an indication of possible future performance. Any action you take upon the information in this article is strictly at your own risk, and we will not be liable for any losses and damages in connection with the use of this article.

RISK WARNING: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. A high percentage of retail client investors lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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