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Technical analysis supporters make use of its numerous indicators to improve the efficiency of their trading strategies. The on-balance volume (OBV) is one of them. In our article, you’ll find out the main features of the OBV indicator, ways to calculate and implement it, common limitations, and much more.
On-balance volume or OBV is a momentum indicator that uses the trading volume to forecast upcoming price moves. This technical tool was created by Joseph Granville in the 1960s. Although OBV was first described in the context of the stock market, nowadays it is widely used in trading a big variety of assets, such as commodities, forex, etc.
The main idea behind the OBV indicator formed by its creator suggests that the volume and the price of the asset are strongly correlated. Thus, if the volume increases or decreases significantly without any major changes in the price, there is a possibility of a sudden movement in the asset value either in the upward or downward direction.
On-balance volume indicator is based on the idea that volume amount precedes movements in the asset price. When using this instrument it’s important to understand that it has a cumulative nature, meaning that its current values are connected to the past ones. Therefore, traders need to keep track not of the actual value of the OBV but the trend and the movement of this indicator.
What’s more, OBV may have both positive and negative values. If the current close of the price stays higher than the previous one, such period is known to be positive. Conversely, if the close of the price bar is lower than the previous one, this period will have a negative value.
In calculating the OBV indicator there are three possible scenarios, thus three formulas representing them.
Currecnt OBV= Previous OBV + Current Volume
Current OBV= Previous OBV - Current Volume
Current OBV= Previous OBV
As it was mentioned before the absolute value of the OBV is not relevant, it’s necessary to pay attention to the overall trend of the price and the indicator. Here is what you can figure out by analyzing them:
The OBV is an efficient momentum indicator that can be implemented by investors in several ways.
To foresee potential price breakouts and breakdowns. OBV can be used to predict potential price movements in either an upward or downward direction. When the market stays within the trading range (support and resistance lines), it’s crucial to pay attention to growing or falling OBV that may be a signal of a sudden price move.
To confirm the price trend. It’s possible to ensure that the market has an uptrend or a downtrend if the OBV line has the same upward or downward direction.
According to Joseph Granville’s theory, any changes in the volume amount often influence the security price. Thus, being a volume-based indicator, OBV, if interpreted correctly, can be a seamless tool in hands of investors, helping them be more proactive in their trading decisions and become potentially more efficient and profitable in their strategies.
OBV and Accumulation/Distribution are both cumulative indicators, that use volume and price to predict potential movements in the market. However, they are not the same. On-balance volume indicator takes into account only the closing price bar value: if it’s higher than the previous one, the current volume is added to the previous OBV, if it’s lower - the volume is subtracted from the previous OBV. This doesn’t work for the Accumulation/Distribution which considers what happens on an intraday basis. Thus, using different data for calculations, these technical indicators may show different results.
To increase the efficiency of your trading strategy it’s possible to use the on-balance value together with other technical indicators. One of the popular combinations consists of OBV and Moving Average (MA). Adding a MA to the price chart helps investors to define the crossover points, which in turn, help to identify the main market trend. What’s more, in case the OBV indicator is over the MA line, it’s recommended to opt for buying positions. Conversely, if the OBV is under the MA, it’s reasonable to open selling positions.
On-balance volume is a momentum volume-based indicator widely implemented by many traders in various markets. It’s a leading technical tool that allows investors to foresee potential asset price movements, confirm the market trend, identify and trade on divergencies. However, like any other indicator, OBV is prone to some pitfalls. It may send some misleading signals and lack efficiency in a smaller timeframe. Therefore, once decided to use on-balance value in your trading strategy, it’s recommended to combine it with other technical tools so that you could get a more accurate picture of the market and make more efficient trading decisions.
On-balance volume is an efficient indicator that helps investors to predict potential market fluctuations based on the asset price and volume. However, like any other technical tool, it has some limitations. Therefore, to increase the effectiveness of your trading decisions it’s reasonable to implement it together with other technical indicators, such as Moving Averages, RSI, etc.
OBV is a leading indicator, meaning that it anticipates the upcoming movements in the market. Traders who want to predict the potential price moves have to pay attention to the direction of the OBV indicator and the changes in the asset price. If both of them show higher highs, the uptrend is likely to continue. If both of them show lower lows the downtrend is likely to stay. However, in case the OBV doesn’t follow the direction of price movements (up or down), the trend (bullish or bearish) may finish on short notice. Note that leading indicators are prone to send out false signals, thus, to mitigate this risk it’s better to use OBV along with other technical tools.
OBV is a seamless tool to identify potential price movements, breakouts, or breakdowns. However, it’s crucial to remember that it’s one of the leading indicators which may produce misleading signals. Therefore, when implementing OBV in your trading strategy, make sure to balance it with some other technical tools, preferably lagging ones.
OBV may have both positive and negative values. When the current close price bar is higher than the previous one on-balance volume is considered to be positive. To calculate OBV in such situations it’s necessary to add the current volume to the previous OBV.
OBV is considered to have a negative value when the current closing asset price is lower than the previous close. To find out the on-balance volume in this case it’s necessary to subtract the current volume from the previous OBV.
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Gladys Eguia
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