Top Economic Events to Watch | May 26 - 30, 2025

Markets don’t move randomly — they move because of information. And some info drops hit harder than others. This week, three major U.S. economic reports are dropping, and if you’re trading stocks, forex, crypto, or bonds, you need to know what they are, why they matter, and how to react.

Skip the noise and focus on these market-moving giants:

📅 May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes – Decoding the Fed's Brain

What is it?
The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting minutes are the detailed notes from the Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting. Think of it like the “behind-the-scenes” footage of a major decision-making session — who said what, what worried them, and how close they were to raising or cutting interest rates.

Why does it matter?
Markets are obsessed with interest rates. Rates affect everything: how expensive it is to borrow money, how much companies earn, and how attractive currencies become. These minutes give traders a window into the Fed’s thinking — are they hawkish (leaning toward rate hikes) or dovish (leaning toward cuts)? Any surprise hawkish tilt can pressure equities and strengthen the U.S. dollar. A dovish tone? That’s rocket fuel for risk assets.

What it impacts most:

Equities (especially tech and growth stocks)

U.S. Dollar (USD forex pairs)

Treasury yields and bond ETFs (like TLT)

Gold and crypto (often move inversely to rates)

Trading tip:
Volatility often spikes right after the minutes are released. It’s important to be prepared for sudden market moves and to manage risk carefully, as unexpected shifts in the Fed’s tone can quickly impact prices.

📅 May 29: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – The Economic Pulse Check

What is it?
GDP measures the total value of everything produced in the U.S. — goods, services, you name it. It’s the ultimate scorecard for economic health. The version dropping this week is a revision of Q1 numbers, which were surprisingly weak.

Why does it matter?
GDP tells investors how fast (or slow) the economy is growing. If it comes in hotter than expected, it may reinforce the idea that the Fed needs to keep rates higher for longer. If it confirms weakness, recession fears resurface. Either way, it shakes up expectations.

What it impacts most:

Stock indices (S&P 500, Nasdaq)

Bond markets (yields tend to move opposite of GDP surprises)

Sector ETFs (cyclicals like XLF, XLI vs. defensives like XLV)

Commodities (crude oil loves growth; weak GDP hits it)

Trading tip:
Keep an eye on GDP revisions — even a small tweak can shift market sentiment. Traders often watch how futures react in the pre-market, especially if GDP data hits at 8:30 AM ET.

📅 May 30: Core PCE Inflation – The Fed’s Favorite Number

What is it?
The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index measures how much prices are rising, excluding food and energy (because they’re volatile). It’s the inflation metric the Fed trusts the most.

Why does it matter?
Inflation drives interest rate policy — plain and simple. If Core PCE is sticky (staying high), the Fed might delay cuts. If it cools, rate cuts could come sooner. Traders treat this number like gospel.

What it impacts most:

Bond yields and rate-sensitive stocks

Forex (DXY and USD/JPY react hard)

Gold and Bitcoin (inflation hedge assets)

Inflation-protected securities (like TIPS)

Trading tip:
Core PCE is typically released early (around 8:30 AM ET), and increased volatility often follows. Traders may monitor short-term price movements using tools like 5-minute charts immediately after the release. Those with a medium-term outlook might consider these events when adjusting their broader positioning strategies.

Big data. Big moves. No room for guesswork.
With major updates on inflation, monetary policy, and economic indicators all landing this week, markets are set for potential movement. For traders who follow momentum and macro trends, it’s a key moment to stay informed and tuned in to the action.