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Top Economic Events to Watch | March 17 - 21, 2025
17 March 2025
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Gladys Eguia
Markets face key shifts with major data from China, the U.S., and Japan. China’s industrial output and retail sales will reveal global demand trends, while U.S. retail sales highlight consumer strength.
Crypto traders should watch Bitcoin’s $75K support and $90K resistance, with Ethereum eyeing $1,550. Bitcoin ETFs and regulations remain in focus.
The Bank of Japan’s policy decision (March 19) could impact global liquidity, while the Fed’s rate decision will set the market’s direction. Big moves are ahead—stay ready.
March 17 – China Industrial Production & Retail Sales
China’s economic data is a critical gauge of global demand, especially for commodities and consumer goods. Industrial production reflects the health of China’s factories, while retail sales measure domestic consumer strength.
March 19 – U.S. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision & Projections
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is the most anticipated economic event of the week, with massive implications for global markets. Investors are focused on whether the Fed will signal rate cuts later this year or maintain a cautious stance due to inflation concerns.
Impact on Markets:
If the Fed hints at rate cuts, risk assets like stocks and crypto could rally, while the U.S. dollar weakens.
If the Fed remains hawkish (keeping rates high for longer), equities could face selling pressure, bond yields may rise, and the dollar could strengthen, pressuring emerging markets.
The Fed’s dot plot (economic projections) will also provide insights into future rate moves, influencing investor sentiment worldwide.
March 19 – Bank of Japan Policy Decision
Japan’s central bank is under the spotlight as speculation grows over a possible shift away from negative interest rates for the first time since 2016. With inflation ticking up and the yen under pressure, traders will watch for signs that the BOJ is preparing for monetary tightening.
Impact on Markets:
A rate hike or hawkish tone could strengthen the Japanese yen while putting pressure on the Nikkei stock index.
Global bond markets could see a selloff, as Japanese investors may repatriate funds from U.S. and European bonds.
A dovish BOJ (staying negative) could keep the yen weak, supporting Japan’s exporters but adding to global inflation risks.
Impact on Markets:
Strong data could boost global equities, commodities (oil, copper, iron ore), and emerging market currencies as it signals strong demand.
Weak data may fuel concerns about a slowdown, pressuring Asian and European markets, as well as currencies tied to China’s growth (like the Australian dollar).
The data will also influence expectations for China’s stimulus efforts, which could impact risk sentiment globally.
Big market moves are on the table this week. Stay focused on central bank decisions, economic data, and key price levels across assets. 🚀
IMPORTANT NOTICE: Any news, opinions, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this article are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and therefore, it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Past performance is not an indication of possible future performance. Any action you take upon the information in this article is strictly at your own risk, and we will not be liable for any losses and damages in connection with the use of this article.
RISK WARNING: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. A high percentage of retail client investors lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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