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NAGA Weekly Recap December 18 - 2023 – December 22 - 2023
22 December 2023
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Maxim Bohdan
As we conclude the last full business week of 2023, the markets have witnessed significant shifts. From the abrupt halt of the stock market rally to the impactful news of Apple Watch sales being blocked in the U.S., these events have notably influenced market dynamics. For a detailed analysis and insights into these pivotal developments, dive into our comprehensive review below 👇
A record-setting stock rally took a breather after a string of gains
U.S. stocks declined, interrupting a record-setting rally after consistent gains in the past week. The Dow Jones fell over 1.2%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 both dropped about 1.5%, marking the S&P's worst performance since October and ending a nine-day winning streak for both the Nasdaq and Dow.
This pullback occurred despite a strong year-end rally, which had brought the Dow to five record closes in a row and the S&P 500 close to its all-time high, with investors initially overlooking hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.
Trading involves significant risk of loss.
Apple shares ($AAPL) fall after reports it will halt US sales of latest watches
Apple Inc.'s stock fell following an announcement that sales of the latest Apple Watch models in the U.S. will cease due to a patent infringement ruling by the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC). This decision, influenced by a dispute with Masimo Corp over blood oxygen sensor technology, affects the Apple Watch Series 9 and Apple Watch Ultra 2.
Despite this setback, Apple's share price, which was down 1% to $195.64 around 1:00 p.m. ET Monday, has increased by about 56% over the year.
Trading involves significant risk of loss.
Gold ends the year on a positive note, above $2035
Gold concluded the year with a strong performance, maintaining its position above $2035. The precious metal saw weekly gains, supported by a softer risk sentiment and growing speculation that the Federal Reserve might initiate interest rate cuts by March 2024.
The performance of gold ($XAUUSD) was further bolstered as the US Dollar failed to build on its overnight gains, marginally falling amidst these rate cut expectations. Gold's intraday high reached $2,043.57, reflecting its resilience in a fluctuating market environment.
Trading involves significant risk of loss.
EUR/USD is likely to trade in the 1.02-1.12 range for 12–24 months
The $EURUSD pair is likely to face a downward pressure, potentially returning to the 1.05 level within the next three months. This expectation stems from the anticipated weakness in the German economy, which is expected to impact the Euro's prospects in the upcoming business cycle and beyond.
Over a longer term, in the 12-24 month horizon, the $EURUSD pair is projected to trade within a range of 1.02 to 1.12. This forecast is notably lower than most model estimates of fair value, indicating a less optimistic outlook for the Euro to rise above the 1.20 level again.
Trading involves significant risk of loss.
This concludes our weekly recap. Have a great weekend and see you next week! 👋
IMPORTANT NOTICE: Any news, opinions, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this article are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and therefore, it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Past performance is not an indication of possible future performance. Any action you take upon the information in this article is strictly at your own risk, and we will not be liable for any losses and damages in connection with the use of this article.
RISK WARNING: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. A high percentage of retail client investors lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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